Back to Markets
Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on November 15?
Resolved No. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 75%
Total Value
$58.3
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 7 top traders (75%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xdde3e501...935a36
Slug
highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-november-15-2026-12c