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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 10°C on November 15?
Resolved No. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 75%
Total Value
$10
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 5 top traders (75%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xfe4364f9...9092e2
Slug
highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-november-15-2026-10c