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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on November 1?
Resolved Yes. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 40%
Total Value
$115
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 5 top traders (40%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x20e37a0a...d99283
Slug
highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-november-1-2026-17c