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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 18?
Resolved Yes. 94% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
16
No 94%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
15 of 16 top traders (94%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2e0c9773...190290
Slug
highest-temperature-in-houston-on-october-18-2026-74-75f