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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 14?
Resolved Yes. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
16
No 88%
Total Value
$49.19
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
14 of 16 top traders (88%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x309d0fc4...b29972
Slug
highest-temperature-in-houston-on-october-14-2026-90-91f