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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the highest temperature in Houston be 78°F or higher on November 8?

Resolved No. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

15

No 25%

Total Value

$300.22

Combined PnL

-$41.34

Smart Money Signal

No

7 of 15 top traders (47%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No7 traders

Total Value$300.22

Total Shares300

Combined PnL+$0.51

Yes8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares462

Combined PnL-$41.85

No — 47%Yes — 53%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
1D 1DVSBSTD	Noavg 99.8¢	$299.73	$300.22	+$0.51	97% 59717-1869 (61586)
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR<$100	Yesavg 4.8¢	$19.04	—	-$36.23	20% 977-3823 (4800)
HE hello.67CTR<$100	Yesavg 5.3¢	$3.23	—	-$5.58	25% 2365-7040 (9405)
0X 0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579CTR<$100	Yes	—	—	-$0.04	43% 5572-7255 (12827)
balthazarCTR<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	30% 35457-83867 (119324)
Lucerys<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	—	—	+$0	43% 18536-24186 (42722)
QW qwen300.fund<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	—	—	+$0	47% 47428-53893 (101321)
AN anothercoinCTR<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	35% 1158-2115 (3273)
0X 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702CTR<$100	Yesavg 1.4¢	—	—	+$0	46% 6186-7390 (13576)
0X 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	—	—	+$0	46% 6896-8155 (15051)
0X 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023CTR<$100	Yesavg 3.1¢	—	—	+$0	69% 16764-7368 (24132)
LU luciebot<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	—	—	+$0	22% 3414-11955 (15369)
0X 0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493<$100	Noavg 99.6¢	—	—	+$0	50% 9328-9390 (18718)
0X 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	—	—	+$0	46% 6642-7775 (14417)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Yesavg 0.2¢	—	—	+$0	57% 24781-18350 (43131)

Invested

$299.73

Value

$300.22

PnL

+$0.51

Record

97%

59717-1869 (61586)

0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR<$100

Invested

$19.04

Value

—

PnL

-$36.23

Record

20%

977-3823 (4800)

hello.67CTR<$100

Invested

$3.23

Value

—

PnL

-$5.58

Record

25%

2365-7040 (9405)

0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

-$0.04

Record

43%

5572-7255 (12827)

balthazarCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

30%

35457-83867 (119324)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

18536-24186 (42722)

qwen300.fund<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

47%

47428-53893 (101321)

anothercoinCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

35%

1158-2115 (3273)

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6186-7390 (13576)

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6896-8155 (15051)

0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

69%

16764-7368 (24132)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

22%

3414-11955 (15369)

0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

9328-9390 (18718)

0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6642-7775 (14417)

ghorrockCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

24781-18350 (43131)

Smart Money Signal

No

7 of 15 top traders (47%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x56a951ef...453d19

Slug

highest-temperature-in-houston-on-november-8-2026-78forhigher

Traders in this Market

1DVSBSTD

No — $300.22

0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98

Yes — $0

hello.67

Yes — $0

0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579

Yes — $0

balthazar

Yes — $0

Lucerys

No — $0

qwen300.fund

No — $0

anothercoin

Yes — $0

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702

Yes — $0

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343

No — $0

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