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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 66-67°F on November 8?

Resolved No. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

17

Yes 100%

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

-$233.28

Smart Money Signal

Yes

15 of 17 top traders (88%)15 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes15 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,261
Combined PnL-$233.28
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 88%No — 12%
0X
0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR
Yes

Invested

$176.39

Value

—

PnL

-$187.45

Record

20%

977-3823 (4800)

2B9SCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$26.58

Value

—

PnL

-$26.65

Record

15%

4994-29324 (34318)

BI
BilberryCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$8.77

Value

—

PnL

-$8.44

Record

53%

5080-4437 (9517)

0X
0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

-$1.39

Record

43%

5572-7255 (12827)

HE
hello.67CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$3.23

Value

—

PnL

-$5.61

Record

25%

2365-7040 (9405)

QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$0.58

Value

—

PnL

-$1.83

Record

47%

47428-53893 (101321)

PO
PoligarchCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$1.46

Value

—

PnL

-$1.46

Record

55%

26028-21332 (47360)

AN
anothercoinCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$0.45

Value

—

PnL

-$0.45

Record

35%

1158-2115 (3273)

balthazarCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

30%

35457-83867 (119324)

Lucerys<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

18536-24186 (42722)

0X
0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

30%

2855-6557 (9412)

0X
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6186-7390 (13576)

0X
0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6896-8155 (15051)

LU
luciebotCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

22%

3414-11955 (15369)

0X
0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

9328-9390 (18718)

GH
ghorrockCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

24781-18350 (43131)

IstarothCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

13%

703-4662 (5365)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x339d19a6...8ed051
Slug
highest-temperature-in-houston-on-november-8-2026-66-67f

Traders in this Market

0X

0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98

CTR

Yes — $0

-$187.45

2B9S

CTR

Yes — $0

-$26.65
BI

Bilberry

CTR

Yes — $0

-$8.44
0X

0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579

CTR

Yes — $0

-$1.39
HE

hello.67

CTR

Yes — $0

-$5.61
QW

qwen300.fund

CTR

Yes — $0

-$1.83
PO

Poligarch

CTR

Yes — $0

-$1.46
AN

anothercoin

CTR

Yes — $0

-$0.45

balthazar

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0

Lucerys

No — $0

+$0
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