Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 64-65°F on November 8?

Resolved No. 92% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Yes 100%

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

-$194.69

Smart Money Signal

Yes

12 of 13 top traders (92%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes12 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares917

Combined PnL-$194.69

No1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares0

Combined PnL+$0

Yes — 92%No — 8%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR	Yesavg 27.1¢	$182.57	—	-$178.74	20% 977-3823 (4800)
2B9SCTR<$100	Yesavg 8.8¢	$6.98	—	-$6.98	15% 4994-29324 (34318)
0X 0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579CTR<$100	Yesavg 0.1¢	$0.08	—	-$0.43	43% 5572-7255 (12827)
HE hello.67CTR<$100	Yesavg 5.3¢	$3.23	—	-$5.58	25% 2365-7040 (9405)
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100	Yesavg 2.9¢	$0.58	—	-$1.82	47% 47428-53893 (101321)
LU luciebotCTR<$100	Yes	—	—	-$0.68	22% 3414-11955 (15369)
AN anothercoinCTR<$100	Yesavg 9.1¢	$0.45	—	-$0.45	35% 1158-2115 (3273)
balthazarCTR<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	30% 35457-83867 (119324)
LucerysCTR<$100	Yesavg 3.4¢	—	—	+$0	43% 18536-24186 (42722)
0X 0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225CTR<$100	Yesavg 0.2¢	—	—	+$0	30% 2855-6557 (9412)
0X 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	—	—	+$0	46% 6642-7775 (14417)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Yesavg 14¢	—	—	+$0	57% 24781-18350 (43131)
IstarothCTR<$100	Yesavg 32.1¢	—	—	+$0	13% 703-4662 (5365)

0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR

Invested

$182.57

Value

—

PnL

-$178.74

Record

20%

977-3823 (4800)

Invested

$6.98

Value

—

PnL

-$6.98

Record

15%

4994-29324 (34318)

0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579CTR<$100

Invested

$0.08

Value

—

PnL

-$0.43

Record

43%

5572-7255 (12827)

hello.67CTR<$100

Invested

$3.23

Value

—

PnL

-$5.58

Record

25%

2365-7040 (9405)

qwen300.fundCTR<$100

Invested

$0.58

Value

—

PnL

-$1.82

Record

47%

47428-53893 (101321)

luciebotCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

-$0.68

Record

22%

3414-11955 (15369)

anothercoinCTR<$100

Invested

$0.45

Value

—

PnL

-$0.45

Record

35%

1158-2115 (3273)

balthazarCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

30%

35457-83867 (119324)

LucerysCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

18536-24186 (42722)

0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

30%

2855-6557 (9412)

0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6642-7775 (14417)

ghorrockCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

24781-18350 (43131)

IstarothCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

13%

703-4662 (5365)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

12 of 13 top traders (92%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xa874cb8d...ef11d5

Slug

highest-temperature-in-houston-on-november-8-2026-64-65f

Traders in this Market

0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98

Yes — $0

2B9S

Yes — $0

0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579

Yes — $0

hello.67

Yes — $0

qwen300.fund

Yes — $0

luciebot

Yes — $0

anothercoin

Yes — $0

balthazar

Yes — $0

Lucerys

Yes — $0

0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225

Yes — $0

Trade on Polymarket