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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15?
Resolved Yes. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 80%
Total Value
$64.2
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdb2dfea0...b46b26
Slug
highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-september-15-2026-31c