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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 4?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
No 50%
Total Value
$429.83
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 8 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe9feec17...bddd7d
Slug
highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-october-4-2026-29c