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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?
Resolved Yes. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
No 67%
Total Value
$443.24
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 9 top traders (67%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x623f958c...df06f0
Slug
highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-may-21-2026-31c