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Yes
balthazar<$100NoNoYesYesYes
IstarothCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 30?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$223.33
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares695
Combined PnL-$223.33
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 71%No — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR | Yesavg 32.1¢ | $223.33 | — | -$223.33 | 47% 656-735 (1391) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 90.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 21044-13396 (34440) |
HE hello.67<$100 | Noavg 75¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1806-1787 (3593) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6516-5727 (12243) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 14.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13663-10453 (24116) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4419-9499 (13918) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Yesavg 27.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 20% 308-1212 (1520) |
0X
0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTRInvested
$223.33
Value
—
PnL
-$223.33
Record
47%
656-735 (1391)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
21044-13396 (34440)
HE
hello.67<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1806-1787 (3593)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6516-5727 (12243)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13663-10453 (24116)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4419-9499 (13918)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
20%
308-1212 (1520)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1194a77b...c1ac2e
Slug
highest-temperature-in-helsinki-on-october-30-2026-10c