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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 7?
Resolved No. 22% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
18
Yes 22%
Total Value
$689.81
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 18 top traders (22%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0e6e4b47...80ab2f
Slug
highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-october-7-2026-29c