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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 4?
Resolved No. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 63%
Total Value
$73.4
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 8 top traders (63%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x62d96654...ca4824
Slug
highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-october-4-2026-30c