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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C or higher on November 15?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 100%
Total Value
$80
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
7 of 7 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9b56245b...c0582d
Slug
highest-temperature-in-guangzhou-on-november-15-2026-32corhigher