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IstarothNoNoYesYesNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 30?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 67%
Total Value
$659.16
Combined PnL
$265.15
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$659.16
Total Shares659
Combined PnL+$275.01
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares25
Combined PnL-$9.86
No — 50%Yes — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Istaroth | Noavg 61.4¢ | $272.7 | $529 | +$256.3 | 20% 312-1280 (1592) |
24 241532532432 | Noavg 87.9¢ | $111.44 | $130.16 | +$18.71 | 59% 1808-1259 (3067) |
HE HellYeahTraderCTR<$100 | Yesavg 30¢ | $7.5 | — | -$9.86 | 55% 410-334 (744) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Yesavg 20¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1827-1806 (3633) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 66¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6541-5757 (12298) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 11.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13779-10552 (24331) |
IstarothInvested
$272.7
Value
$529
PnL
+$256.3
Record
20%
312-1280 (1592)
24
241532532432Invested
$111.44
Value
$130.16
PnL
+$18.71
Record
59%
1808-1259 (3067)
HE
HellYeahTraderCTR<$100Invested
$7.5
Value
—
PnL
-$9.86
Record
55%
410-334 (744)
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1827-1806 (3633)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6541-5757 (12298)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13779-10552 (24331)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x02afd265...d81fdf
Slug
highest-temperature-in-denver-on-october-30-2026-66-67f