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Yes
balthazar<$100NoNoNoNoNo
Istaroth<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 30?
Resolved No. 14% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$258.92
Smart Money Signal
Yes
1 of 7 top traders (14%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares380
Combined PnL-$258.92
No6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 14%No — 86%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432CTR | Yesavg 41.3¢ | $185.93 | — | -$258.92 | 59% 1808-1259 (3067) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 21099-13436 (34535) |
HE hello.67<$100 | Noavg 54¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1827-1806 (3633) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 66¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6541-5757 (12298) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 57.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13779-10552 (24331) |
HE HellYeahTrader<$100 | Noavg 57.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 410-334 (744) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 56.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 20% 312-1280 (1592) |
24
241532532432CTRInvested
$185.93
Value
—
PnL
-$258.92
Record
59%
1808-1259 (3067)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
21099-13436 (34535)
HE
hello.67<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1827-1806 (3633)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6541-5757 (12298)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13779-10552 (24331)
HE
HellYeahTrader<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
410-334 (744)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
20%
312-1280 (1592)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x46b80dca...fe30c7
Slug
highest-temperature-in-denver-on-october-30-2026-64-65f