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YesNo
balthazarCTR<$100NoNoNoNo
IstarothCTR<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 30?
Resolved Yes. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
No 50%
Total Value
$241.05
Combined PnL
$21.97
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes1 trader
Total Value$241.05
Total Shares241
Combined PnL+$302
No6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares209
Combined PnL-$280.03
Yes — 14%No — 86%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Yesavg 24.2¢ | $77.56 | $241.05 | +$302 | 59% 1808-1259 (3067) |
HE HellYeahTraderCTR | Noavg 83.8¢ | $174.82 | — | -$280.03 | 55% 410-334 (744) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 21099-13436 (34535) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Noavg 82¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1827-1806 (3633) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Noavg 85¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6541-5757 (12298) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Noavg 48.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13779-10552 (24331) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Noavg 78.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 20% 312-1280 (1592) |
24
241532532432Invested
$77.56
Value
$241.05
PnL
+$302
Record
59%
1808-1259 (3067)
HE
HellYeahTraderCTRInvested
$174.82
Value
—
PnL
-$280.03
Record
55%
410-334 (744)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
21099-13436 (34535)
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1827-1806 (3633)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6541-5757 (12298)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13779-10552 (24331)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
20%
312-1280 (1592)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf0c62ea9...e0a79b
Slug
highest-temperature-in-denver-on-october-30-2026-62-63f