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No
balthazar<$100NoNoNoYes
Istaroth<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 27?
Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 100%
Total Value
$78.75
Combined PnL
$34.25
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$78.75
Total Shares79
Combined PnL+$34.25
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 83%Yes — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432<$100 | Noavg 57.5¢ | $44.5 | $78.75 | +$34.25 | 60% 1580-1035 (2615) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20651-13088 (33739) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 62.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6308-5527 (11835) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 58.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13102-9987 (23089) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 36.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4334-9323 (13657) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 66.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 28% 280-738 (1018) |
24
241532532432<$100Invested
$44.5
Value
$78.75
PnL
+$34.25
Record
60%
1580-1035 (2615)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20651-13088 (33739)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6308-5527 (11835)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13102-9987 (23089)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4334-9323 (13657)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
28%
280-738 (1018)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xcc074f2b...251804
Slug
highest-temperature-in-denver-on-october-27-2026-66-67f