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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 76°F or higher on November 8?

Resolved No. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

No 50%

Total Value

$618.19

Combined PnL

-$0.65

Smart Money Signal

No

7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No7 traders
Total Value$618.19
Total Shares618
Combined PnL+$0.62
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares14
Combined PnL-$1.27
No — 70%Yes — 30%
1D
1DVSBSTD
No

Invested

$597.15

Value

$597.71

PnL

+$0.6

Record

97%

59717-1869 (61586)

0X
0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225<$100
No

Invested

$10.09

Value

$20.48

PnL

+$0.02

Record

30%

2855-6557 (9412)

0X
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$0.12

Value

—

PnL

-$0.82

Record

21%

608-2274 (2882)

AN
anothercoinCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$0.45

Value

—

PnL

-$0.45

Record

35%

1158-2115 (3273)

Lucerys<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

18536-24186 (42722)

GR
graynotebook19<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

25558-21177 (46735)

GO
godblessme2026<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

42%

15337-20800 (36137)

0X
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

69%

16764-7368 (24132)

LU
luciebotCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

22%

3414-11955 (15369)

0X
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6642-7775 (14417)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xffbd03c8...5207b8
Slug
highest-temperature-in-denver-on-november-8-2026-76forhigher

Traders in this Market

1D

1DVSBSTD

No — $597.71

+$0.6
0X

0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225

No — $20.48

+$0.02
0X

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179

CTR

Yes — $0

-$0.82
AN

anothercoin

CTR

Yes — $0

-$0.45

Lucerys

No — $0

+$0
GR

graynotebook19

No — $0

+$0
GO

godblessme2026

No — $0

+$0
0X

0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023

No — $0

+$0
LU

luciebot

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0
0X

0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293

No — $0

+$0
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