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NoYes
Lucerys<$100NoYes
IstarothCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 70°F or higher on November 7?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
Total Value
$80
Combined PnL
$0.05
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$80
Total Shares80
Combined PnL+$0.08
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares14
Combined PnL-$0.03
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1D 1DVSBSTD<$100 | Noavg 99.8¢ | $79.85 | $80 | +$0.08 | 97% 522-14 (536) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | $0.03 | — | -$0.03 | 58% 23579-16943 (40522) |
Lucerys<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 45% 18006-22281 (40287) |
MI mildwindow27CTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 45% 9808-11964 (21772) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 13% 603-4221 (4824) |
1D
1DVSBSTD<$100Invested
$79.85
Value
$80
PnL
+$0.08
Record
97%
522-14 (536)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
$0.03
Value
—
PnL
-$0.03
Record
58%
23579-16943 (40522)
Lucerys<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
45%
18006-22281 (40287)
MI
mildwindow27CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
45%
9808-11964 (21772)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
13%
603-4221 (4824)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x297fe2f0...9743ff
Slug
highest-temperature-in-denver-on-november-7-2026-70forhigher