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NoYes
balthazar<$100NoNoYes
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 30?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 50%
Total Value
$60
Combined PnL
-$3.43
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$60
Total Shares60
Combined PnL+$3.35
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares136
Combined PnL-$6.78
No — 50%Yes — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432<$100 | Noavg 94.5¢ | $56.68 | $60 | +$3.35 | 59% 1743-1208 (2951) |
HE HellYeahTraderCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5¢ | $6.78 | — | -$6.78 | 56% 372-296 (668) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20984-13348 (34332) |
HE hello.67<$100 | Noavg 89.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1774-1756 (3530) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13603-10423 (24026) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 527-2364 (2891) |
24
241532532432<$100Invested
$56.68
Value
$60
PnL
+$3.35
Record
59%
1743-1208 (2951)
HE
HellYeahTraderCTR<$100Invested
$6.78
Value
—
PnL
-$6.78
Record
56%
372-296 (668)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20984-13348 (34332)
HE
hello.67<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1774-1756 (3530)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13603-10423 (24026)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
527-2364 (2891)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5a06e5ed...3b8b1e
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chongqing-on-october-30-2026-22c