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Yes
balthazarCTR<$100NoYesNoYesYes
Istaroth<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 30?
Resolved Yes. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 100%
Total Value
$44
Combined PnL
$28.47
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$44
Total Shares44
Combined PnL+$28.47
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 71%No — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432<$100 | Yesavg 35.3¢ | $15.55 | $44 | +$28.47 | 59% 1743-1208 (2951) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 1.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20984-13348 (34332) |
HE hello.67<$100 | Yesavg 28¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1774-1756 (3530) |
0X 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR<$100 | Noavg 62.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 626-610 (1236) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Yesavg 34.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13603-10423 (24026) |
HE HellYeahTrader<$100 | Yesavg 35¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 372-296 (668) |
Istaroth<$100 | Yesavg 33.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 21% 300-1148 (1448) |
24
241532532432<$100Invested
$15.55
Value
$44
PnL
+$28.47
Record
59%
1743-1208 (2951)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20984-13348 (34332)
HE
hello.67<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1774-1756 (3530)
0X
0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
626-610 (1236)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13603-10423 (24026)
HE
HellYeahTrader<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
372-296 (668)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
21%
300-1148 (1448)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x66987983...2db97b
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chongqing-on-october-30-2026-20c