Back to Markets
No
balthazar<$100NoYesNoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 28?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$310
Combined PnL
$14.75
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$310
Total Shares310
Combined PnL+$14.75
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Noavg 95.2¢ | $310 | $310 | +$14.75 | 60% 1599-1056 (2655) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20693-13116 (33809) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1654-1642 (3296) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 96.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6330-5547 (11877) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 93.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13143-10017 (23160) |
24
241532532432Invested
$310
Value
$310
PnL
+$14.75
Record
60%
1599-1056 (2655)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20693-13116 (33809)
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1654-1642 (3296)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6330-5547 (11877)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13143-10017 (23160)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x16152cf9...ba66b3
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chongqing-on-october-28-2026-18c