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NoYes
balthazarCTR<$100Yes
LucerysCTR<$100YesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 11°C on November 9?
Resolved No. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
Total Value
$150
Combined PnL
-$5.4
Smart Money Signal
No
1 of 5 top traders (20%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$150
Total Shares150
Combined PnL+$0.15
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares61
Combined PnL-$5.55
No — 20%Yes — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1D 1DVSBSTD | Noavg 99.9¢ | $149.86 | $150 | +$0.15 | 97% 59786-1869 (61655) |
0X 0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493CTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $5.55 | — | -$5.55 | 50% 9346-9412 (18758) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 30% 35523-84044 (119567) |
LucerysCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 43% 18729-24498 (43227) |
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 22% 3495-12142 (15637) |
1D
1DVSBSTDInvested
$149.86
Value
$150
PnL
+$0.15
Record
97%
59786-1869 (61655)
0X
0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493CTR<$100Invested
$5.55
Value
—
PnL
-$5.55
Record
50%
9346-9412 (18758)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
30%
35523-84044 (119567)
LucerysCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
43%
18729-24498 (43227)
LU
luciebotCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
22%
3495-12142 (15637)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7be9ce5b...7a7b27
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chongqing-on-november-9-2026-11c