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YesNoYesNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 29?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$1.1
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares10
Combined PnL-$1.1
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 40%No — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432CTR<$100 | Yesavg 11¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 59% 1723-1189 (2912) |
HE hello.67<$100 | Noavg 88.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1752-1734 (3486) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13544-10382 (23926) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100 | Noavg 99.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4395-9448 (13843) |
HE HellYeahTrader<$100 | Noavg 88.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 358-287 (645) |
24
241532532432CTR<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
59%
1723-1189 (2912)
HE
hello.67<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1752-1734 (3486)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13544-10382 (23926)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4395-9448 (13843)
HE
HellYeahTrader<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
358-287 (645)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2a2a109f...859da4
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-october-29-2026-72-73f