Back to Markets
NoYesNoNo
IstarothCTR<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 28?
Resolved Yes. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
Total Value
$276.84
Combined PnL
$159.3
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares185
Combined PnL-$274.5
Yes1 trader
Total Value$276.84
Total Shares277
Combined PnL+$433.8
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HE HellYeahTraderCTR | Noavg 79.3¢ | $146.5 | — | -$274.5 | 55% 306-250 (556) |
24 241532532432 | Yesavg 12.6¢ | $42.33 | $276.84 | +$433.8 | 60% 1644-1108 (2752) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Noavg 81.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13303-10162 (23465) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Noavg 65.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4355-9374 (13729) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Noavg 80.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 24% 285-905 (1190) |
HE
HellYeahTraderCTRInvested
$146.5
Value
—
PnL
-$274.5
Record
55%
306-250 (556)
24
241532532432Invested
$42.33
Value
$276.84
PnL
+$433.8
Record
60%
1644-1108 (2752)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13303-10162 (23465)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4355-9374 (13729)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
24%
285-905 (1190)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x0d92df82...f931a0
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-october-28-2026-76-77f