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No
balthazar<$100NoNoNo
Istaroth<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 28?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$300.33
Combined PnL
$41.35
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 5 top traders (100%)4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$300.33
Total Shares300
Combined PnL+$41.35
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Noavg 93.5¢ | $258.98 | $300.33 | +$41.35 | 60% 1644-1108 (2752) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 55¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20776-13190 (33966) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 90.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13303-10162 (23465) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100 | Noavg 98¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4355-9374 (13729) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 81.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 24% 285-905 (1190) |
24
241532532432Invested
$258.98
Value
$300.33
PnL
+$41.35
Record
60%
1644-1108 (2752)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20776-13190 (33966)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13303-10162 (23465)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4355-9374 (13729)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
24%
285-905 (1190)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xfe6eae3f...c149d6
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-october-28-2026-72-73f