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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 16?
Resolved No. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Yes 55%
Total Value
$165.55
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
6 of 11 top traders (55%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3bfefac0...16d9fe
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-october-16-2026-66-67f