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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on November 6?
Resolved No. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
24
Yes 54%
Total Value
$56.94
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
13 of 24 top traders (54%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4660a9a5...f54eb6
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-november-6-2026-50-51f