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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on November 6?
Resolved Yes. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
24
No 58%
Total Value
$24.79
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
14 of 24 top traders (58%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8757984b...16ae6f
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-november-6-2026-46-47f