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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on November 6?
Resolved No. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Yes 73%
Total Value
$3.67
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
8 of 11 top traders (73%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb52f3d9a...76f5fd
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-november-6-2026-40-41f