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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on November 14?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Yes 80%
Total Value
$29.81
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
7 of 9 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb9e4dc3e...4d729c
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-november-14-2026-38-39f