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No
balthazar<$100NoNoYes
IstarothCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 30?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$19.74
Combined PnL
$1.14
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$19.74
Total Shares20
Combined PnL+$1.14
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432<$100 | Noavg 94.2¢ | $18.84 | $19.74 | +$1.14 | 59% 1743-1208 (2951) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 83.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20984-13348 (34332) |
HE hello.67<$100 | Noavg 88¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1774-1756 (3530) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13603-10423 (24026) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Yesavg 17.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 21% 300-1148 (1448) |
24
241532532432<$100Invested
$18.84
Value
$19.74
PnL
+$1.14
Record
59%
1743-1208 (2951)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20984-13348 (34332)
HE
hello.67<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1774-1756 (3530)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13603-10423 (24026)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
21%
300-1148 (1448)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd052e66b...8da728
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chengdu-on-october-30-2026-21c