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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on October 22?
Resolved Yes. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
12
No 83%
Total Value
$74
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
10 of 12 top traders (83%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x19724408...7b20b4
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chengdu-on-october-22-2026-17c