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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 19?
Resolved No. 30% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
10
Yes 30%
Total Value
$416.19
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 10 top traders (30%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb8e26d4d...683c2d
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chengdu-on-october-19-2026-24c