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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C on November 8?
Resolved No. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
13
Yes 54%
Total Value
$0.25
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
7 of 13 top traders (54%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x00f2013a...6067e5
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chengdu-on-november-8-2026-16c