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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 4?

Resolved No. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

No 50%

Total Value

$42.32

Combined PnL

-$9.11

Smart Money Signal

No

7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No7 traders
Total Value$42.32
Total Shares42
Combined PnL+$0.13
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares216
Combined PnL-$9.24
No — 70%Yes — 30%
Istaroth<$100
No

Invested

$29.97

Value

$30.01

PnL

+$0.04

Record

14%

461-2750 (3211)

Lucerys<$100
No

Invested

$22.27

Value

$12.31

PnL

+$0.09

Record

77%

12521-3667 (16188)

0X
0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$7.56

Value

—

PnL

-$7.56

Record

44%

797-1006 (1803)

2B9SCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$1.69

Value

—

PnL

-$1.69

Record

18%

4279-20045 (24324)

0X
0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343<$100
No

Invested

$5.07

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

47%

2137-2439 (4576)

CI
cigarettes<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

22623-19873 (42496)

AN
anothercoinCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0.01

Record

50%

657-658 (1315)

QU
quietparcel<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

9776-9752 (19528)

GO
god83743894<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

10307-11997 (22304)

0X
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

41%

1183-1676 (2859)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xae9f18d8...0ff1e4
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chengdu-on-november-4-2026-18c

Traders in this Market

Istaroth

No — $30.01

+$0.04

Lucerys

No — $12.31

+$0.09
0X

0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0

CTR

Yes — $0

-$7.56

2B9S

CTR

Yes — $0

-$1.69
0X

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343

No — $0

+$0
CI

cigarettes

No — $0

+$0
AN

anothercoin

CTR

Yes — $0

+$0.01
QU

quietparcel

No — $0

+$0
GO

god83743894

No — $0

+$0
0X

0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023

No — $0

+$0
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