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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on November 15?
Resolved No. 62.5% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Yes 62.5%
Total Value
$10.95
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
7 of 11 top traders (62.5%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6de095a5...60a6cf
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chengdu-on-november-15-2026-17c