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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C on November 15?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 80%
Total Value
$4
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
6 of 8 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1bd4f251...eeff7c
Slug
highest-temperature-in-chengdu-on-november-15-2026-16c