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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 9?
Resolved Yes. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
10
No 80%
Total Value
$432.1
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
8 of 10 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x20a9b7b4...9c8bb7
Slug
highest-temperature-in-cape-town-on-october-9-2026-21c