Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 7?
Resolved Yes. 85% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
13
No 85%
Total Value
$0.02
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
11 of 13 top traders (85%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xe54e5623...c7137d
Slug
highest-temperature-in-cape-town-on-october-7-2026-20c