Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 3?
Resolved Yes. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
12
No 67%
Total Value
$146.98
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
8 of 12 top traders (67%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x6875cb0b...efbd84
Slug
highest-temperature-in-cape-town-on-october-3-2026-21c