Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 33°C on November 9?

Resolved Yes. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Yes 100%

Total Value

$209.98

Combined PnL

$144.64

Smart Money Signal

Yes

5 of 12 top traders (42%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%

No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes5 traders

Total Value$209.98

Total Shares210

Combined PnL+$144.64

No7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares0

Combined PnL+$0

Yes — 42%No — 58%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
24 241532532432	Yesavg 18.5¢	$23.75	$128	+$104.25	55% 29-24 (53)
PO Poligarch<$100	Yesavg 50.2¢	$19.3	$38.33	+$19.03	68% 43-20 (63)
balthazar<$100	Yesavg 28.4¢	$8.51	$29.86	+$21.35	56% 47-37 (84)
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98<$100	Yes	$13.79	$13.79	+$0.01	0% 0-29 (29)
0X 0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225CTR<$100	Noavg 0.3¢	—	—	+$0	39% 51-81 (132)
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100	Noavg 19.8¢	—	—	+$0	80% 61-15 (76)
0X 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702CTR<$100	Noavg 0.3¢	—	—	+$0	46% 42-50 (92)
0X 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343CTR<$100	Noavg 75¢	—	—	+$0	28% 55-139 (194)
LU luciebotCTR<$100	Noavg 0.8¢	—	—	+$0	77% 53-16 (69)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100	Noavg 79¢	—	—	+$0	— 2-16 (18)
0X 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100	Yesavg 79¢	—	—	+$0	43% 34-45 (79)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Noavg 34.1¢	—	—	+$0	53% 86-75 (161)

Invested

$23.75

Value

$128

PnL

+$104.25

Record

55%

29-24 (53)

Invested

$19.3

Value

$38.33

PnL

+$19.03

Record

68%

43-20 (63)

Invested

$8.51

Value

$29.86

PnL

+$21.35

Record

56%

47-37 (84)

0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98<$100

Invested

$13.79

Value

$13.79

PnL

+$0.01

Record

0%

0-29 (29)

0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

39%

51-81 (132)

qwen300.fundCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

80%

61-15 (76)

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

42-50 (92)

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

28%

55-139 (194)

luciebotCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

77%

53-16 (69)

LornaPredictsCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

—

2-16 (18)

0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

34-45 (79)

ghorrockCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

86-75 (161)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

5 of 12 top traders (42%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x24399c9f...8f8a42

Slug

highest-temperature-in-cape-town-on-november-9-2026-33c

Traders in this Market

241532532432

Yes — $128

Poligarch

Yes — $38.33

balthazar

Yes — $29.86

0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98

Yes — $13.79

0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225

No — $0

qwen300.fund

No — $0

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702

No — $0

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343

No — $0

luciebot

No — $0

LornaPredicts

No — $0

Trade on Polymarket