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NoNoYesNoYesNoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on November 8?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 67%
Total Value
$63.04
Combined PnL
-$4.75
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$63.04
Total Shares63
Combined PnL+$4.22
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares99
Combined PnL-$8.97
No — 71%Yes — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 123987456<$100 | Noavg 93.1¢ | $56.31 | $60.5 | +$4.19 | 30% 2914-6654 (9568) |
1D 1DVSBSTD<$100 | Noavg 98.5¢ | $2.54 | $2.54 | +$0.04 | 97% 59583-1863 (61446) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $8.97 | — | -$8.97 | 25% 2354-7013 (9367) |
QU quietparcel<$100 | Noavg 93.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 21518-21342 (42860) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 24661-18268 (42929) |
0X 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100 | Noavg 93.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 6624-7759 (14383) |
HE HellYeahTrader<$100 | Noavg 92.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 903-691 (1594) |
12
123987456<$100Invested
$56.31
Value
$60.5
PnL
+$4.19
Record
30%
2914-6654 (9568)
1D
1DVSBSTD<$100Invested
$2.54
Value
$2.54
PnL
+$0.04
Record
97%
59583-1863 (61446)
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
$8.97
Value
—
PnL
-$8.97
Record
25%
2354-7013 (9367)
QU
quietparcel<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
21518-21342 (42860)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
24661-18268 (42929)
0X
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
6624-7759 (14383)
HE
HellYeahTrader<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
903-691 (1594)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf607766c...b1bb0d
Slug
highest-temperature-in-cape-town-on-november-8-2026-30c