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NoYesNoNoNoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C or below on November 8?
Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 50%
Total Value
$200
Combined PnL
-$8.82
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$200
Total Shares200
Combined PnL+$0.2
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares99
Combined PnL-$9.02
No — 83%Yes — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1D 1DVSBSTD | Noavg 99.9¢ | $200 | $200 | +$0.2 | 97% 59583-1863 (61446) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $9.02 | — | -$9.02 | 25% 2354-7013 (9367) |
0X 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 6878-8119 (14997) |
GO god83743894<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 37% 16933-29287 (46220) |
0X 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 70% 16759-7350 (24109) |
0X 0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 9314-9358 (18672) |
1D
1DVSBSTDInvested
$200
Value
$200
PnL
+$0.2
Record
97%
59583-1863 (61446)
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
$9.02
Value
—
PnL
-$9.02
Record
25%
2354-7013 (9367)
0X
0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
6878-8119 (14997)
GO
god83743894<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
37%
16933-29287 (46220)
0X
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
70%
16759-7350 (24109)
0X
0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
9314-9358 (18672)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x35b1f1bf...4f2dfb
Slug
highest-temperature-in-cape-town-on-november-8-2026-21corbelow