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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on November 4?
Resolved Yes. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
20
No 75%
Total Value
$865.93
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
15 of 20 top traders (75%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9d78e811...516704
Slug
highest-temperature-in-cape-town-on-november-4-2026-30c