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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 7?
Resolved Yes. 85.71428571428571% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
No 85.71428571428571%
Total Value
$41.12
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 7 top traders (85.71428571428571%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb842e92b...95fc7b
Slug
highest-temperature-in-cape-town-on-may-7-2026-19c