Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 15?
Resolved Yes. 90.9090909090909% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
No 90.9090909090909%
Total Value
$220.04
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
8 of 9 top traders (90.9090909090909%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x132b7219...ad7e55
Slug
highest-temperature-in-cape-town-on-may-15-2026-19c