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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 15?
Resolved No. 66.66666666666667% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 66.66666666666667%
Total Value
$0.01
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 5 top traders (66.66666666666667%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x491f6c5b...eb0d7f
Slug
highest-temperature-in-cape-town-on-june-15-2026-19c